Pregnancy due dates are typically estimated from the first day of the last menstrual period (LMP), using a standard 40-week (280-day) pregnancy length. This calculator applies that standard method, known as Naegele's rule, to give a quick estimate.
The formula (Naegele's rule)
This assumes a typical 28-day menstrual cycle with ovulation around day 14. For people with different cycle lengths, the actual conception date — and therefore the true due date — may fall earlier or later than this estimate suggests.
How accurate is this estimate?
Only about 5% of babies are born on their exact calculated due date. Most full-term births occur within a window of roughly two weeks before to two weeks after the estimated date. This is a normal, expected range, not a sign that anything is off — due dates are a statistical estimate, not a precise prediction.
Other ways due dates are estimated
- Last menstrual period (LMP): the method used here — simple but assumes a standard cycle length.
- Early ultrasound: generally considered more accurate than LMP alone, particularly for people with irregular cycles, since it measures the embryo or fetus directly.
- IVF transfer date: for pregnancies conceived via IVF, the due date can be calculated precisely from the known embryo transfer date.
Common mistakes
- Treating the due date as exact. It's a statistical estimate — actual delivery commonly occurs anywhere within a two-week window on either side.
- Ignoring irregular cycles. Naegele's rule assumes a 28-day cycle; people with longer or shorter cycles may have a due date that shifts earlier or later than this simple calculation suggests.
References
- American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) — clinical guidance on pregnancy dating
Frequently asked questions
How is a pregnancy due date calculated?
The most common method, Naegele's rule, adds 280 days (40 weeks) to the first day of your last menstrual period, assuming a typical 28-day cycle.
How accurate is a due date estimate?
Only about 5% of babies are born on their exact estimated due date. Most births occur within a window of roughly two weeks before to two weeks after the estimated date.
Does this replace an ultrasound-based due date?
No. An early ultrasound is generally considered more accurate than a last-menstrual-period calculation alone, especially for people with irregular cycles. Use this as a general estimate and confirm with a healthcare provider.